Guest Editorial |

Guest Editorial

Scenario planning is a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible long-term plans. The basic method is that a group of analysts generate simulation games for policy makers. The games combine known facts about the future such as demographics, geography, military, political and industrial information, and mineral reserves, with particular possible social, technical and political trends. Usually analysts generate more than one "future-look" based upon the no change, low change and high change of the picked or perceived important trends or technical factors. I have just generated one road scenario. The scenario is based upon the following assumptions: One, more of the same type of growth and building that the Park City and Summit County governments have authorized in the last five years and indeed the public demanded. Two, governments will finally discontinue the requirement for traffic studies since there is never any impact. Three, wetlands protection will be "abandoned" in creative ways. Four, Summit County will continue its growth as a bedroom society for Salt Lake City and Salt Lake will be the bedroom for service workers in Summit County. I-80 between Salt Lake and Coalville will become a 10-lane highway to accommodate the increased commuters. A new cloverleaf exchange will be installed between Kimball Junction and U.S. 40 turnoff. Ten lanes will be required all the way into Park City. This new S.R. 224 will become the "State Street" of Park City, with service industries every block. Traffic lights will also be included every block — this is to be done to save open space. There will be numerous pedestrian walkovers (similar to the one at Kimball junction) along this entry corridor. A four-lane road through Round Valley will lead to the Park City Regional Medical Center (second largest medical center in the state). The 10-lane highway will continue down U.S. 40 to this complex. This medical center and associated business will dominate the U.S. 40 and S.R. 248 intersections. Park City will "abandon" the wetlands along the 248 corridor to expand the road into an eight-lane road leading to U.S. 40 and the Park City Regional Medical Center. This will be one of the first roads expanded due to the congestion around the schools. A double-decked highway was considered but deemed too expensive. The Salt Lake inversion will spill over the top of Parley’s Summit. The Snyderville Basin inversion will continue to expand and the two inversions will join on the worst days. Only at the ski area bases will we be out of the inversion. Park City government will "force" Deer Valley to put in a four-lane road over or near the Deer Crest development that connects with U.S. 40 to ease the traffic into Park City from Deer Valley. Once an acceptable/realistic scenario is generated, business and governments must make plans to enable, change or prepare for the future. Have Utah, Park City, and county governments prepared for this future?

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